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合同剩3年1.6亿!35岁的乔治 是今年不在状态还是就这样了?_我的网站

奇葩说

一 |     


译者注:本文原发表自《费城之声》,作者是Adam Aaronson,文中数据均截至原文发稿前(当地时间4月17日),文中观点与译者及平台无关。

二 |     The following is a transcript of an interview with Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo that aired on "Face the Nation" on September 3, 2023.


ROBERT COSTA: We now go to the Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. Good morning, Secretary. Thanks for being here. Let's begin with the economy. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the jobs report for August, and people around their tables this weekend are looking at it. It shows 187,000 jobs were added last month, exceeding expectations. But more people are working more than one job. How worried are you about this?SECRETARY GINA RAIMONDO: Good morning, thanks for having me. This jobs report is exactly what we want to see at this point in the recovery. As you just said, you know, creating more jobs, really exciting is that people are getting off of the sidelines. You know, we're seeing more people come into the labor force and there are jobs for them. As you say, people are working, you know, more than one job and wages are up, it should be said, but this is exactly why President Biden is so focused on creating manufacturing jobs, which are higher paid, getting folks the skills they need to get a higher paying job. There's still a lot of work to do to make sure that every American has the skills they need to get a job, which is family support and sustaining. But- and we're doing that work. But overall, there's a lot to like in this jobs report. And it's exactly- it exceeded our expectations.      ROBERT COSTA: In terms of that work that's still to be done, the administration is touting its efforts. It's confident in the economy. But our CBS News polling, Secretary, shows 65% of Americans still view the economy as being in a bad place. Why do you believe your administration, along with President Biden, has struggled to reassure those Americans about these policies and about the economy?SEC. RAIMONDO: So it's- it's an interesting, you know, dichotomy between the- the numbers, and as you say the polling numbers or the- the perception numbers, I think the reality is that inflation still exists. And it is, you know, something that people see on a daily basis when they go to the grocery store, or pay their rent, or pay their mortgage. And we have to know that, you know, that's still a challenge for folks. That being said, if you look at where we are today, compared to when the President took office, it's an unbelievable story of progress. And I will tell you, even I, you know, his- the President's Commerce Secretary, if you had told me when we started based on where the economy was, how high the unemployment rate was, how, you know, disrupted supply chains were, that we'd be sitting here now with this jobs picture, I might not have believed it. I mean, it's just a stunning amount of progress. The economy- we're among the strongest economies in the world. We all went through COVID, right, Europe did, China did, Asia did yet we have emerged, the fastest and the strongest. So I don't want to minimize what Americans are feeling, and that's why we get up and go to work every day. But this economy by any measure is doing incredibly well and much better than anyone could have predicted I think three years ago when we started.                 ROBERT COSTA: After looking back, let's also look ahead, the White House is working with Congress to hammer out an agreement on a short term funding measure to avoid an October 1 partial federal government shutdown. When you talk to business leaders right now, are they worried about this deadline and what a shutdown could mean for the US economy?SEC. RAIMONDO: Yes, they are worried- they're very worried. They are, I think, in some cases, frustrated that this is how government operates. You know, what businesses need to be successful is- is predictability, you know, predictability, some semblance of, you know, regular order. And so these sorts of disruptions that are mainly driven by politics. So it's a challenge for the economy and have the potential to set us back. So I do hope that there will be a speedy resolution.ROBERT COSTA: Secretary, you are the first commerce secretary in five years to be on the ground in China in recent days. What progress, if any, do you think you made on the ground there?SEC. RAIMONDO: I think we made a great deal of progress. In terms of concrete deliverables, I was able to open three specific lines of communication with the Chinese, which is a huge step forward. We haven't really had any contact in more than five years. So we agreed to share information about export controls, we agreed to open a dialogue on commercial issues, which is so important, because China has not treated US business fairly. And so it's- we got to put those issues on the table. And we agree to have exchange around trade secrets, another area where businesses need to- deserve to know that their trade secrets will be protected in China. But I think more than any of that we just are starting to resume a direct line of contact and communication, which we need to do if we're going to manage what is a very complex and potentially volatile relationship with China.                       ROBERT COSTA: So people may be heartened to hear at least some that the US and the Chinese, they're talking, there's open lines of communication right now. But what's next, beyond having this dialogue? What specifically can you say is going to happen next?SEC. RAIMONDO: So my message to the Chinese officials with whom I met is that action speaks louder than words. So they gave verbal assurances that they will treat US businesses fairly, that they will not engage in non-market practices which hurt American workers. And my message was, well, let's see it. You know, actions speak louder than words. So time will tell whether they are going to really be as they say they want to be, you know, more market oriented and open and reform minded when it comes to their economy, their regulatory regime. They need to be less arbitrary in the way they administer regulations to actually give American businesses a fair shot to compete.ROBERT COSTA: You said on the trip that quote, increasingly, I hear from American business that China is uninvestable, because it becomes too risky. So what exactly did you get in terms of those assurances from the Chinese, that would really give confidence to American business leaders?SEC. RAIMONDO: They said that they would talk to American businesses and begin to address these issues. Like, for example, one of the complaints I hear frequently from US business, by the way, business who are used to doing business in- in difficult parts of the world. They say that, you know, China's regulations are not at all transparent. You know, they'll raid a business in March and not explain what went on for many months. They will arrest folks but not provide due process or tell you what happened. And so when I expressed these concerns, I was heard, I wasn't given any promises. But one thing that I think we can take a bit of heart in is it's in China's interest. It's in their economic interest to have foreign direct investment and to make sure, you know, they had a very good economy when they were market oriented and reform minded. And so we have to hope that self interest will affect their future decisions.ROBERT COSTA: So they might have that motivation, but you saw them face to face, you had meetings with them. That's the value of having these sorts of trips. Do you trust the Chinese at this point after all of your conversations, after digesting what happened on your trip, do you trust them?SEC. RAIMONDO: Trust is probably not the word I would use. We need to see action. And until we see action, there can be no trust.ROBERT COSTA: And they hacked into your own email account so that might have hurt the ability to have a trustworthy relationship.                      SEC. RAIMONDO: Exactly. And I said that, you know, hacking my account erodes trust, undermining American workers, by over subsidizing certain industries erodes trust, treating American businesses unfairly on the ground erodes trust. So but, you know, look, I- we can't be naive and oversimplify this relationship, this very challenging relationship. But we have to be practical, right? We have to protect ourselves first and foremost, national security, the United States. Beyond that we have to be practical and look for places where we can have a strong commercial relationship because we need stability in this relationship. That's good for America. And- and I think it's what the world is expecting of us and of China.ROBERT COSTA: You're looking for stability, Secretary. But the big question is, is China's economy stable? There have been indicators over the last several months that showed China's economy's in a slowdown. When you were over there, did you get insights, if any, about whether the Chinese economy is slowing down? And how concerning would that be for the United States?SEC. RAIMONDO: I think there's no question that it is slowing down. And certainly they're having real, real significant challenges in the real estate sector, which they readily acknowledged when I was there. But again, to my mind, the facts are quite clear in this regard. When China was more market oriented, open, you know, a little bit more transparent, their economy did very well. And more recently, as they have closed down and become more arbitrary in the way they administer regulations, the economy is quite challenged. So time will tell. The decision- the ball's in their court- the decisions are theirs. We want a large and stable economic relationship with them, but they have to play by the rules. And we are always going to act in our own American self-interest.ROBERT COSTA: Speaking of playing by the rules, there's such a standoff right now between the Chinese and tech companies. Semiconductors are crucial for our economy, yet China's threatening to curb the mineral supply to the US and the West. And many US businesses tell CBS they're operating in China, but seeing this hostile environment with raids, and fines. So how is your administration going to solve this back and forth between the Chinese and the tech industry?SEC. RAIMONDO: This is exactly why I went to China. It's exactly why I went, showed up, had meetings. I met with my counterpart for more than four hours. I met with the premier for more than one hour. They were open, candid, honest discussions. How are we going to resolve these issues? Because I'll tell you, prior to going to China, I personally spoke with more than 100 US business leaders and labor leaders. And what they tell me is that even the ones that have been doing business in China for decades, you know, these are sophisticated people used to dealing with the traditional concerns of, you know, IP- IP theft or non-market practices. They say, it's much harder now. Right? Like China is making it more difficult because of the reasons you say the raids, the counter espionage law. They are going to make a business decision to do business in other countries unless that improves. And so I was very clear with China that we need to- patience is wearing thin among American business. They need and deserve a predictable environment and a level playing field. And hopefully China will heed that message so we can have a stable growing commercial relationship.ROBERT COSTA: And there are many voices as you know in the ears of American business leaders. A Wall Street Journal report, earlier this year, for example, said that the FBI director, Christopher Wray, wants businesses to help fight China and cyber threats. He reportedly said that only through cooperation with the FBI can that agency marshal an effective response. Do you agree with Director Wray?SEC. RAIMONDO: I agree that business has an important role to play partnering with us to ensure America's national security across a range of different areas, including technology. And, you know, that's why we are in such close contact with business, frankly, often the information they have on the ground is some of the best that we can- we can get.                      ROBERT COSTA: But is it good for businesses to work with the FBI specifically?SEC. RAIMONDO: Every business has to make their own decision. But I definitely think there's value- there's mutual value for business, and certainly for the government to have communication and coordination.ROBERT COSTA: And I'm often out on the campaign trail, Secretary. And I know you stay out of politics. But one thing I'm hearing from so many Republicans across the country, especially governors, they want to block Chinese companies from making investments and buying farmland in the United States. Does the Biden administration and do you support Chinese companies making investments and buying farmland in the United States?SEC. RAIMONDO: We have to be very, very careful, we have to screen every investment and make a decision as to whether it hurts our national security or not. Not every investment from China into America is- harms our national security, but many do. And so it's a case by case basis, looking into the facts and being as tough as we need to be, but also being, you know, realistic and not hyperbolic. Just being, like I say, practical. It's time to be practical, pragmatic and serious about managing every aspect of this relationship.ROBERT COSTA: Secretary Raimondo, we appreciate you taking the time on a Sunday. Thank you.SEC. RAIMONDO: Thank you. Have a great Labor Day weekend.                                 

随着2024-25赛季费城76人队的比赛正式落下帷幕,是时候来评估这个灾难性赛季中的寥寥高光与诸多低谷了。在这个赛季里,球队仅取得24场胜利。我们将在“76人队赛季回顾”系列中展开评估,该系列会根据数据、比赛录像和球员言论,对76人队每位球员在本赛季的表现进行分析,同时展望未来。

三 |


接下来要讨论的是保罗-乔治,这位曾九次入选全明星的球员,在与76人队签下一份价值2.12亿美元的合同后,他在球队的首个赛季表现令人大失所望。

由于伤病不断,乔治仅出战了41场比赛。即便在身体健康时,他也从未打出球星应有的水准。

未来他还会有高光时刻吗?还是说这预示着他将进一步走下坡路?

2024-25赛季我们的发现

没有乔尔-恩比德时,我们不能指望乔治扛起球队。

76人队追逐乔治,希望他成为球队第三球星,这背后的逻辑至少是可以理解的:

在十多年的职业生涯里,作为一位适应性很强的球星,他的履历或许是NBA所有球员中最扎实的。他既能与其他知名球星配合,在胜利方面带来影响,又能随时准备好承担核心角色并游刃有余。


然而,来到费城后,情况却并非如此。乔治与恩比德、马克西的配合不仅没有预期中那么默契,而且在76人队需要他扛起进攻重任时,他完全掉链子。他的得分能力大幅下滑,仅三次得分达到30分。

据我们分析,乔治得分大幅下滑的主要原因是:他的运球突破时的爆发力明显下降。乔治一直以来都非常擅长突破和急停跳投相结合,但这两种进攻手段都要对防守者形成足够威胁才行:防守者必须忌惮他的突破才能让他的急停跳投奏效,也必须相信他随时准备投篮才能创造突破空间。一旦其中任何一种威胁不复存在,对手的防守就会针对他更强的那项技能。


实际情况正是如此,乔治无法在突破到篮下时展现爆发力,这导致他出手的跳投比以往更加困难。作为同时代最具天赋的射手之一,乔治仍能凭借技术勉强维持。但他的出手选择变得越来越艰难,如果这种趋势持续下去,在比赛的任何时段,他都无法成为可靠的主攻手,只能作为一名无球球员发挥价值。

四 | 这倒不是说他就一无是处,但这会让他几乎不可能打出与合同身价相符的表现。

关键数据

2024-25赛季,乔治场均罚球次数为2.4次,这是自2010-11赛季以来,他单赛季场均罚球次数的最低值。

在职业生涯中,即便乔治的罚球次数从未达到恩比德那种级别,但他罚球率一直很高,且罚球命中率也相当出色。多年来,这极大地提升了他的进攻效率,也在一定程度上掩盖了他不太合理的投篮选择。然而,在过去几个赛季里,随着他突破到篮下的能力逐渐下降,罚球次数也随之减少,在费城的首个赛季,这一数据更是降至惊人的低点。

五 |


在15年的NBA生涯中,乔治的罚球命中率超过85%,这使他的造犯规成为球队的重要得分手段。但如今,他却不再能做到这点。

六 | 即便在恩比德赛季大部分时间缺阵、76人迫切需要乔治接管比赛时,他也不再能做到这一点。

重要言论

在赛季结束后的采访中,乔治谈到了自己在76人队首个赛季遇到的个人和职业困境:

“发生了太多事。这对我来说很艰难,要处理的事情太多了。从心理层面来说,我在新环境里要努力平衡许多事情。我有自己的内心困扰,也有私人事务要处理,我家乡所在的西部还发生了一些糟心事。

七 | 在新环境里,伤病带来的挫败感,还有没能打出赛季初预期表现的自责,这些都压在我心头。不过到了下赛季,很多事情都不会再困扰我,压力也会减轻不少。所以我期待自己和球队都能迎来更好的赛季,实现反弹……我对自己有着很高的期望,为这样一支充满激情的球队、一群热情的球迷打球,这里的人们渴望胜利,也期待我能带领球队赢球。所以,在各种事情交织的情况下,最大的挑战就是上场比赛时,把场外的一切抛诸脑后,专注于我该做的事情。但我觉得,保持专注对我来说可能是最困难的。”


未来的疑问

本赛季乔治的左膝问题有多严重?

如果乔治运球创造进攻机会的能力下滑,仅仅是因为长达15年的NBA生涯带来的身体损耗和自然的衰老过程,那在他职业生涯的剩余时间里,想要重现球星风采,希望十分渺茫。是否还有其他原因呢?

如果要找其他原因,最合理的推测是,他左膝的伤病比球队透露的更严重。季前赛时,乔治的左膝出现骨挫伤,缺席了常规赛的前几场比赛。复出打了几场比赛后,同一膝盖再次骨挫伤。起初,他回归后有出场时间限制,不过后来取消了。在乔治努力带伤出战、手指受伤影响了他的灵活性,又因腹股沟问题缺阵时;膝盖问题似乎不再受关注。


但有趣的是,当乔治最终赛季报销时,据报道,他的腹股沟和膝盖都需要治疗。在周日的赛季结束采访中,乔治也承认了这点。有没有可能,他的膝盖在整个赛季里造成的阻碍比76人队承认的要大得多,这才是他作为有球进攻组织者表现挣扎的原因呢?

在有明确证据证明其他原因之前,我们最好还是接受最简单的解释:乔治即将年满35岁,此前伤病不断,他的运动能力已明显下滑。

合同信息


下个月就将年满35岁的乔治,与76人队去年夏天签下的4年巨额合同还剩3年:

2025-26赛季:5160万美元

2026-27赛季:5410万美元

2027-28赛季:5650万美元(球员选项)。

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